Sunday, May 17, 2015

The Balance of Payments


• measure of money inflows and outflows between the United States and the rest of the world (ROW)
     - inflow = credit
     - outflow = debit
• balance of payments is divided to 3 parts 
       - current account
       - capital/financial account 
       - official reserves account 

Double entry bookkeeping 
• every transaction in the balance of payments is recorded twice in accordance with standard account practice
      - Ex. U.S. Manufacturer, John Deere, exports $50 million worth of farm equipment to Ireland
             . A credit of $50 mil. To the current account 
             . A debit of $50 mil to the capital/financial account l
      - notice that the two transactions offset

Current account 
• balance of trade or net exports 
       - exports of goods/services - import of goods/services
       - exports create a credit to the balance of payments 
       - imports create a debut to the balance of payments 
• net foreign income 
       - income earned by U.S. Owned foreign assets - income paid to foreign held US assets
      - ex. Interest payments on US owned Brazilian bonds - interest payments in German owned US treasury bonds
• net transfers ( lend to be unilateral)
      - foreign aid -> a debut to the current account 

Capital/financial account 
• the balance of capital ownership
• includes the purchase of both real and financial assets 
• direct investments in the United States is a credit to the capital account 
      - ex. The Toyota factory in San Antonio
• direct investment by U.S. Firms/individuals in a foreign country are debits to the capital account 
• purchase of foreign financial assets represents a debit to the capital account 
      - ex. Warren buffet buys stock in petrochina
• purchase of domestic financial assets by foreigners represents a credit to the capital account 

Relationship between current and capital account 
• remember double entry bookkeeping?
• the current account and capital account should zero each other out 
• that is... If the current account has a negative balance (deficit), then the capital account should then have a positive account (surplus)

Official reserves 
• the foreign currency holding of the United States federal reserve system
• when there is a balance of payments surplus. Des accumulates foreign currency and debits the balance of payments 
• when there is a balance of payments deficit the fed depletes its reserves of foreign currency and credits the balances of payments 
• the official reserves should zero out the balance of payments 

Active v passive official reserves 
• the United States is passive in its use of official reserves. It does not seek to manipulate the dollars exchange rate 
• the people's republic of China is active in its use of official reserves. It actively buys and sells dollars in order to maintain a steady exchange rate with the United States 

•Goods and service exports - goods and services imports
• unofficial way of trade: good exports + goods imports 
• informal: Goods imports + service imports 
• Current account = balance of trade + net investments + net transfers 
• capital account = foreign purchases of U.S. Assets + US purchases of assets abroad 
• official reserves = Capitol account balance + current account balance

No comments:

Post a Comment